TED Case Studies
CARBON2 Case
CASE NUMBER: 213
CASE MNEMONIC: CARBON2
CASE NAME: Carbon II Power Plant
I. IDENTIFICATION
1. The Issue
In October of 1993 the utility corporation Southern
California Edison (SCE) canceled its plans to invest in and
operate a $1.8 billion power plant known as Carbon II near the
Texas border in Mexico. Through its San Antonio-based
subsidiary, the Mission Energy Company, SCE was considering joint
ownership of Carbon II with the Mexican mining company Grupo
Acero del Norte. The proposal, encouraged by the impending North
American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), indicated the possibility
of bilateral energy usage in trans-boundary areas. However,
scrutiny of cross-border pollution in the political debate over
the agreement's ratification focused concern on emissions from
Carbon II and its precedent for future energy development in
Mexico. The facility's coal-fired production technique caused
concerns with the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and
Interior Department about its impact on the border ecology. In
addition, the Texas state legislature and U.S. Park Service had
specified the possible ecological damage to the Big Bend National
Park. Attention to this facility underscored the overall concern
with the process and scope of Mexico's new geo-thermal energy
program. These considerations appeared to have influenced the
SCE decision to nullify its investment, citing differences with
Mexico's energy department over aspects of the final agreement.
2. Description
When its funding status changed, Carbon II was nearing
completion at its site 18 miles south of the Texas border and
within commuting distance to San Antonio. The development of
Carbon II marks the inception of a Mexican federal program
designed to attract private domestic and foreign investment for
increasing its supply of electrical power. The program's planned
scope envisions the construction of 40 facilities fueled by coal
ash residue from mining operations. Mexico secured World Bank
lending to initiate the program, but private investment was
necessary to finance this $20 billion project over its twelve year
duration. Thus far $3.5 billion, including the investment from
SCE, was secured for two additional plants
Once in operation, Carbon II and its nearby sister facility
Carbon I, would produce 230,000 tons of sulfur dioxide pollutant
air particles. This emission would make the site the tenth largest
source for such pollution in North America. Carbon II's estimated
impact on the U.S. environment alone would be sizable. A National
Park Service study concluded that sulfur dioxide from the combined
plants would reduce visibility by 30% at the Big Bend National Park
in southwestern Texas.(1) In addition, the sulfur dioxide would
contribute to acid rain in the region and create a haze that could
possibly drift to the Grand Canyon.
This ecological degradation, along with the projected
magnitude of the program has elevated U.S. environmental
concerns. The proximity to the Mexican border, and the prospect of
weak environmental regulation monitoring pollution emission
prompted EPA criticism. Agency analysis concluded that the Mexican
standard for particulate emissions is ten times weaker than the
U.S. counterpart.(2) Equipment required to modernize the 1970s-era
technology would cost an extra $300 million. Neither SCE nor
Mexico's government were willing to pay the expense.
SCE's involvement in Carbon IIþs development illustrates the
business aspirations of U.S. and Canadian utility companies in
post-NAFTA Mexico. Though the project didnþt propose to sell power
to the United States, the passage of NAFTA created huge potential
transborder utility markets. The case also underscores the
pressure to harmonize Mexican environmental standards with the U.S.
under NAFTA.(3) U.S. lawmakers consider Carbon II a test case of
how the two countries will resolve cross-border problems under the
agreements voluntary pollution controls.
The Carbon II case illustrates Mexico's quandary in its quest
for industrialized status. The parallel, but not
integrated, programs of trade liberalization and energy
development have combined to place national policies under the
examination of the U.S. government. The paradoxical result:
Pressure to approve NAFTA, and its subsequent investment,
discourage U.S. private financing of its energy policy. Both
programs designed to promote economic and societal growth have
presented a conflict for each other.
In conclusion, the Carbon II outcome is the most beneficial
for environmental protection in the border region. Long
neglected at the expense of economic development, it appears
environmental policy has gained political weight in the decision
making of both the United States and Mexico. In that regard the
case has served to promote necessary environmental protection.
3. Related Cases
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(7): San
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(9): Air
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Keyword Clusters
(1): Industry = UTILity
(2): Bio-geography = DRY
(3): Environmental Problem = Pollution Air [POLA]
4. Author: Douglas R. Freeman
B. LEGAL FILTERS
5. Discourse and Status
Since Carbon II never became involved in legal proceedings,
its general discourse is neither formal agreement nor
disagreement. Despite initial ecological concerns raised during
the summer of 1993, no law suits were brought against the SCE corp
nor Mexicoþs Department of Energy. In addition, when the SCE corp
removed its investment, the venture ceased to be a formal American
business interest.
6. Forum and Scope: NAFTA and BILATeral
Although this is a bilateral issue between the United States
and Mexico it was reviewed under a unilateral context. The
potential danger of Carbon II's pollution was examined mainly by
the EPA, Interior Department, and Texas State Legislature.
A bilateral forum for trans-boundary environmental
protection exits under the 1983 Lapaz Agreement. This accord
between the EPA and Mexico's Secretariat for Urban Development and
Ecology (SERDUE) provides joint authority to regulate air, land,
and water pollution in the border region. With NAFTA's
ratification, future environmental jurisdiction along the
U.S./Mexico Border will enforced by the trilateral North American
Commission on the Environment (NACE). Until NACE receives
regulatory power, ecological protection is governed by the
NAFTA's Article 1114. Concern remains over this article's
enforcement ability. It relies on voluntary compliance among
investors to health, safety, and environmental regulations.
7. Decision Breadth: 2 (USA and MEXICO)
Though never involving a legal proceeding, the SCE decision
to cancel its investment involved interests in Mexico and the
United States.
8. Legal Standing: TREATY
C. GEOGRAPHIC FILTERS
9. Geography
a. Geographic Domain: North America
b. Geographic Site: Western North America
c. Geographic Impact: USA
10. Sub-National Factors
The Texas State government brought initial attention to the
issue in response to constituent inquiry. Their pressure
prompted the review by the EPA and Interior Department, leading to
subsequent national attention.
11. Type of Habitat: DRY
D. TRADE FILTERS
12. Type of Measure: Regulatory Standard [REGSTD]
At this point no regulatory measure was being instituted to
prevent the production of electrical power at the Carbon II plant.
The EPA recommended the installation of scrubbing
equipment at the facility to reduce emissions. The $300 million
cost of this regulatory measure would be included the final cost of
electrical output.
13. Direct vs. Indirect Impacts: INDirect
Though the regulatory standards do not limit production of
electricity, the particle filtering equipment would affect the
production cost and have an indirect impact on the amount of power
produced at plant from the plant.
14. Relation of Trade Measure to Product Impact
a. Directly Related: YES POWER
b. Indirectly Related: NO
c. Not Related: NO
d. Related to Process: YES Pollution Air [POLA]
15. Trade Product Identification: POWER
16. Economic Data
Based the 1992 UN Energy Statistics Yearbook, Mexico total
production of electricity for the fiscal year was approximately 126
million kilowatts of power. Geo-thermal, which includes the coal-
ash technique, production accounted for roughly 5 million
kilowatts, or 4 percent of this total. No figures are available
for employment in Mexico power industry. However, Mexicoþs country
profile compiled by The Economist Intelligence Unit shows the
electricity industry accounting for 1.5 percent of 1992 gross
domestic product (GDP).
17. Impact of Trade Restriction: HIGH
Figures are not available for the hourly cost of Mexicoþs
electrical power. However, without SCE's investment, or a viable
alternative, the Carbon II plant will not go into
production at a loss of 1.4 million kilowatts of power. In
addition, the bleak prospect of investment for Mexico's coal-ash
power program may result in insufficient production to meet
national demand, and cause increased prices.
18. Industry Sector: UTILity
19. Exporters and Importers
E. ENVIRONMENT FILTERS
20. Environmental Problem Type: Pollution Air [POLA]
The emissions from Carbon II would increase air pollution in
the region and contribute to acid rain. Both types of
degradation are examples of resource concentration problems.
21. Name, Type, and Diversity of Species
Name: Many
Type: Many
Diversity: 19,473 higher plants per 10,000 km/sq (USA)
Plants, animals, and insects indigenous to the Sonoran Desert
of south-western Texas and northern-central Mexico would be
affected by the particle emissions. Although the exact number of
species is not known, such animals as owls, hawks, deer, javelenas,
mountain lions, and assorted reptiles are common to the Big Bend
National Park.
22. Resource Impact and Effect: MEDium and Structural
[STRCT]
23. Urgency and Lifetime: MEDium and 10-20 years
Currently, the urgency of coal-ash pollution is relatively low
owing the limited scope of the industryþs development. However,
the other issues of pollution and waste dumping along the
U.S./Mexico border are severe. Publicity of the probable
emissions from Carbon II, illustrates a pro-active attitude towards
addressing potential new environmental problems in the region.
24. Substitutes
Potential substitute sources of power in Mexico could
include Solar or Wind energy. Both techniques are well suited for
the climatic conditions of the region, and would offer
pollution free electricity.
F. OTHER FACTORS
25. Culture: NO
26. Human Rights: NO
27. Trans-Boundary Issues: YES
This case is a facet of a much larger political, economic, and
environmental issue. Environmentalists on both sides of the border
feel operation of this plant and the proposed others will
exacerbate an already critical situation. Despite Mexicoþs
comprehensive environmental legal framework, the countryþs
ecology has suffered from four decades of almost unregulated
industrialization.(4) The border regionþs ecology has
particularly suffered from economic growth resulting from the
Maquiladora Program. Over 2,000 U.S. industrial plants have
located along the 2,000 mile border in the past two decades.(5) An
estimated $5.5 billion would be required to clean up air, land, and
water degradation in the area.
U.S. concern over this pollution focused attention on Carbon
II. Congressional debate over the ratification of the North
American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), brought the plantþs
development to media headlines. U.S. lawmakers consider the
facility a test case of how the two countries will hammer out
cross-border pollution problems.(6) In the words of a Sierra Club
official, "Carbon II is a perfect example of how we could make
NAFTA work, or how it could actually end up making things worse in
the environmental arena."(7)
28. Relevant Literature
The Economist Intelligence Unit. Mexico: Country Profile 1993-94
London: Business International Limited, 1993.
Golden, Tim. "Fear of Pollution at Mexican Plant." The New York
Times, August 12, 1993, A7.
Golden, Tim. "A History of Pollution in Mexico Casts Clouds Over
Trade Accord." The New York Times, August 16, 1993,
A1.
Golden, Tim. "Mexican Border Utility Deal Fizzles." The New
York Times, October 13, 1993, D1.
Old, Joe and Stephen Baker. "How Do You Clean Up A 2,000-Mile
Garbage Dump?" Business Week (July 6, 1992): 31.
"1,100 Miles of Solitude: The Big Bend National Park," Audubon
94 (March/April, 1992): 36-7.
Pasztor, Andy. "Power Plants in Mexico Cast Pall Over NAFTA."
The Wall Street Journal, September 8, 1993, B1.
The United Nations. 1992 UN Energy Statistics Yearbook. New
York: UN Publications, 1993.
Ward, Justin and Glenn T. Prickett. "Prospects for a Green Trade
Agreement." Environment (May 1992): 2-3 and 44-5.
References
1. Andy Pasztor, "Power Plants In Mexico Cast Pall Over NAFTA,"
The Wall Street Journal, September 8. 1993, B1.
2. Pasztor, B7.
3. Tim Golden, "Fear of Pollution at Mexican Plant," The New York
Times, August 12, 1993, A7.
4. Tim Golden, "A History of Pollution in Mexico Cast Clouds Over
Trade Accord." The New York Times, August 16, 1993, A1. For
aspects of Mexican environmental law see Justin Ward and Glenn T.
Prickett, "Prospects for a Green Trade Agreement." Environment,
May 1992, 2.
5. Joe Old and Stephen Baker, "How do you Clean Up a 2,000-Mile
Garbage Dump?" Business Week, July 6, 1992, 31.
6. Pasztor, B1.
7. Ibid.
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